Ukraine Invasion Will Likely Trigger Russia’s Revenge on Putin

When the Russian Federation began in February of 2022 its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a sovereign nation that was once a republic of the Soviet Union before its collapse, the world watched in shock. Although Western intelligence had been indicating an imminent Russian invasion as troops were being consolidated along Ukraine’s vast border with Russia, it seemed that no expert, not President Zelenskyy nor certainly the Ukrainian people, felt that this would come to pass. Unfortunately, war is the reality now in Ukraine, and it does not seem poised to end any time soon. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is widely conceived of as a war crime by many Western government officials, and Putin’s initial military stumble will likely snowball, leading to his downfall as the leader as Russian citizens finally learn the truth.

When Russia launched a full scale military invasion on 24 February 2022, most world leaders thought the mission would be lightning fast, and Ukraine would fall within a week (Cohen 24). When the Ukrainian military resisted much of the initial invasion, Russia nevertheless inflicted much destruction and suffering on Ukrainian military and civil infrastructure, including the bombing of several key airports and oil refineries that are vital to Ukrainian commerce. Meanwhile, in Russia, the powerful state censorship apparatus was working overtime, shielding the Russian people from the harsh realities of the war, and promoting the idea that Putin and his military were rooting out “Nazis” and corrupt forces within the Ukrainian government (Cohen 25). This looked like it would be an effective formula for Putin, who has decades of training in manipulating information and much experience running brutal wars in various Russian breakaway territories.

But Ukraine would be different. Bolstered by unrivaled national pride, Zelenskyy and his military, now quite well trained and supplied with the assistance of NATO among others, did not take this invasion lightly, and certainly did not concede even one kilometer of land to the Russian forces (Beevor 83). Not only did Ukrainians rise up in solidarity, the entire world, with few exceptions, stepped up to support the Ukrainian people. Unprecedented sanctions were enacted, which brought the Russian economy to its knees, and funding flooded into Ukraine. Also, Putin inadvertently brought the European Union and the United States back together diplomatically, after years of tension following the presidency of Donald Trump (The Editorial Board 2). This synergistic combination of events has created an environment for Putin that is likely to backfire for him, both personally and politically, unless he manages to pull out a seeming military and moral victory for the Russian people and for his powerful supporters. His options become more narrow each day the Ukrainians heroically defend their homeland from what they see as needless aggression, and as the world’s press organizations share the harsh realities of this brutal invasion (The Editorial Board 1).

Whether Putin will manage some sort of victory out of the chaos and misery in Ukraine is not known, but what is known is that the world’s leaders no longer want to have anything to do with this authoritarian regime. Sooner or later, the Russian people will be able to see around the firewalls that Putin has built to keep them in the dark, and when that day comes, Putin will be no longer, and the world will be a better place without his cynical leadership. Most experts agree that Putin must go, but they also agree that this change must come from within Russia.

Works Cited

Beevor, Antony. “Putin Doesn’t Realize How Much Warfare Has Changed.” The Atlantic, 24 March 2022, https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/03/putin-doesnt-realize-how-much-warfare-has-changed/627600/. Accessed 25 March 2022.
Cohen, Roger. “The Making of Vladimir Putin.”The New York Times, 26 March 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/26/world/europe/vladimir-putin-russia.html. Accessed 25 March 2022.
The Editorial Board. NO TO WAR IN UKRAINE. Stud East Eur Thought 74, 1–2 (2022). https://doi-org.libproxy.newschool.edu/10.1007/s11212-022-09471-4. Accessed 26 March 2022.

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